Report: Boston pop. to rise 400k by 2025 - Boston Business Journal:

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That’s why bizjournals is issuing its own populatioj projections forthe nation’s 250 largesyt metropolitan areas, looking as far aheads as 2025. Bizjournals analyzed recent county-by-countt growth patterns within each state, and then used that informatiohn to predict metropolitan growthat five-year intervalss between 2005 and 2025. No one can foresee all of the economivc twists and demographic turns that the coming two decadeswwill bring, but bizjournals’ projections suggest a range of intriguing possibilities.
Here are some possibilities ofparticular interest: Boston will have addex roughly 400,000 residents in the 20-yeaf span ended 2025, with a totakl population topping 4.84 million That should be good enough to rank the city as the country’sa 12th-largest, based on bizjournals’ projections. As of Boston was ranked as the 10th largest city in theUniteed States. By comparison, the city of Mass., is expected to slip 11 spots in therankingss — falling from the country’s 64th largest city to its 75th by 2025. That fall would come despitwe a projected 5 percent increase in Worcester’s population, which is expected to reach just over 813,0009 by 2025.
• Barnstable, tied for 10th among the citiees expected fall the farthest inthe rankings. The with a population of roughly 219,00 0 in 2005, is expectede to slip 6 percent by 2025 pushing Barnstable down 39 spots to 227tbh inthe largest-city rankings. • New York City will retaimn first place by acomfortable margin. The nation’sa largest metropolitan area isthe 23-county New York City which spills over into Long Island, New Jerseyt and Pennsylvania. It had 18.8 million residents in 2005, according to U.S. Censusw Bureau estimates. No. 2 Los Angeles was far behin d at 12.8 million.
Los Angelesx is growing more rapidly thanNew York, but not fast enougbh to close the gap appreciably. The two giante will still be separatedby 5.8 million people in when New York has 19.8 million residents and Los Angelesd has a shade more than 14 million. Houston and Atlanta will climn into thetop six. Houston was the nation’s seventh-largesgt metro in 2005, and Atlanta was No. 9. Both will be movinbg higher incoming years. Houstojn is projected to shoot up to fifthn placeby 2025, adding almost 2.6 million people to reachj a population of nearlt 7.9 million. Atlanta is ticketedr for sixth placeat 7.3 million.
The top four by the way, will maintain preciselyg the same order overthe 20-year New York, Los Angeles, Chicago and Dallas-Forf Worth. • Detroit will drop out of the top 10, with Phoenicx replacing it. Detroit and Phoenix are two of the most economicallyt troubled areas inAmerica today, but their future prospects are considerably different. Detroit is the only metrp expected to slip from the top 10 during the nexttwo It’s projected to fall from 10th placw in 2005 to 14th place in 2025, losing 59,500 residentss during that span. Phoenix, on the other hand, is likelty to bounce back strongly from itscurrentt problems. Its projected 2025 populatiom of 6.
9 million will elevate it to seventhy place, up from 13th in 2005. • Raleig h will set the fastesf pace of anymetropolitan area. The three-county Raleigy metro will virtually double its population during thestudy period. It had 953,00p residents in 2005, but should be closing in on 1.9 milliojn by 2025.